Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1356.499156 1546.335590 1758.409827 2013.842482 2314.408495 2658.365451 3083.938320
2025-08-24 1074.311974 1323.972656 1630.138890 2037.254816 2570.466535 3253.545072 4208.642695
2025-08-31 916.067112 1188.575330 1544.258280 2050.455173 2765.447131 3759.573015 5283.187436
2025-09-07 815.945636 1102.925845 1496.738114 2089.260925 2980.723498 4310.096457 6518.452523
2025-09-14 710.854369 992.011463 1393.303304 2024.456735 3023.892311 4602.982660 7410.947715
2025-09-21 628.880638 901.846084 1304.836192 1963.609506 3054.986690 4871.136926 8308.224077
2025-09-28 559.660400 821.619800 1219.842281 1893.200372 3054.311045 5078.738620 9134.858267
2025-10-05 532.247842 801.370918 1223.661494 1964.652968 3300.402230 5754.758114 11004.461538
2025-10-12 500.617288 770.605976 1206.244776 1996.263722 3478.502455 6335.775375 12830.959954
2025-10-19 470.748708 739.354866 1183.960944 2015.135961 3633.896488 6899.100899 14769.850682
2025-10-26 443.894208 710.305986 1161.885063 2030.575933 3783.460355 7476.894112 16905.982100
2025-11-02 427.399090 697.123712 1165.651783 2094.132139 4038.757700 8330.940132 19991.808702
2025-11-09 408.219748 678.270772 1158.654283 2138.754177 4268.617661 9193.905395 23453.577588
2025-11-16 387.886814 655.638750 1142.601864 2163.683037 4461.677510 10019.381239 27145.145088
2025-11-23 368.234289 632.388877 1122.810460 2177.861293 4632.339268 10829.147289 31122.851274
2025-11-30 353.571383 617.032049 1116.494783 2219.543543 4875.010252 11887.246379 36389.465306
2025-12-07 328.198191 579.317172 1062.525189 2149.941505 4833.393258 12156.254365 39008.274118
2025-12-14 305.634804 545.314037 1013.045065 2084.616113 4792.350617 12419.710570 41741.205322
2025-12-21 284.055336 511.704087 961.600606 2009.058262 4713.367706 12555.584757 44053.649365
2025-12-28 278.518531 509.325335 974.586966 2085.736149 5054.320254 14074.738032 52998.950789
2026-01-04 269.433526 499.093988 969.995499 2119.670317 5284.393520 15306.824181 61448.236770
2026-01-11 259.805927 487.023674 960.337801 2139.933056 5479.744975 16481.708775 70419.155558
2026-01-18 250.531353 475.003322 949.724977 2156.512499 5667.988504 17691.548465 80461.341862